A satellite hardware company left for dead, but with a breakeven profitable business, strategic alternatives in review and selling below its cash value.
Trading below cash with insiders holding 30% is exactly the setup that makes illiquid micro-caps worth the digging.
The real leverage isn't the discount — it's whether the strategic review timeline closes before the market finds a reason to re-price that optionality away.
Every "free operating business" stays free until someone decides it isn't.
How are you thinking about the actual post-return cash floor versus NCAV, since part of the asset base is receivables/inventory rather than pure cash? Also, do you have a source for the airtime economics/85%+ retention and MTData stickiness, or is that mostly your inference? Last thing: how do you avoid double-counting inventory in the SOTP if you’re already valuing the operating business as a going concern?
I like this idea. Have you done any analysis on what the tax situation is with regards to any gain on sale of the JV? Not sure what the laws are like in Aus.
Trading below cash with insiders holding 30% is exactly the setup that makes illiquid micro-caps worth the digging.
The real leverage isn't the discount — it's whether the strategic review timeline closes before the market finds a reason to re-price that optionality away.
Every "free operating business" stays free until someone decides it isn't.
Can you explain how you got to the cash figure?
This is my thinking:
Latest confirmed release says $16.4 million (31 March 2026, pre-return)
$16.36M − $12.1M = ~$4.26M (this assumes zero operating activity in between, which isn't realistic)
Cashflow
H1 FY26 (Jul–Dec 2025)+$2.47M
Q3 FY26 (Jan–Mar 2026)+$64K
Beam itself guided that Q4 revenue would "hold around current levels"
So for Q4 FY26 (Apr–Jun 2026), reasonable expectation: roughly breakeven to modestly positive. Call it $0 to $300K.
That brings us to around ~4.3M to ~4.6M
How are you thinking about the actual post-return cash floor versus NCAV, since part of the asset base is receivables/inventory rather than pure cash? Also, do you have a source for the airtime economics/85%+ retention and MTData stickiness, or is that mostly your inference? Last thing: how do you avoid double-counting inventory in the SOTP if you’re already valuing the operating business as a going concern?
Great article man, actually interesting
Subscribed, would love to have you along too🙂🙌
I like this idea. Have you done any analysis on what the tax situation is with regards to any gain on sale of the JV? Not sure what the laws are like in Aus.
Numbers are post tax
Thanks.